Author Archives
Bottom extension signals in commodities. Stock update
The sharp drops in stock and commodity markets since short-lived rallies late last week have obviously been caused by fears of a runaway medical emergency emanating from China. We have been bearish of stock markets since our ‘sell’ advice in the January 17th edition and…
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Bottom extensions in energy contracts
There have been bottom extensions in heating oil and natural gas, both of which have fallen further and faster than any of the related crude oil or gasoline markets: This has the usual meaning – we expect that the current…
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US equity top extensions at a turn. Sell
There have been several top extensions in US indices. Here is one important example: As we pointed out in the last edition, the largest turn event of January is expected today (Friday 17th – see front page for the chart)…
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Another top in US stocks, also Cotton. Commodity update
The rebound in stocks after a low point on Wednesday last week has taken many US indices to slight new highs, leading to a lot of breathless commentary about the ‘continuing bull market’. Yes, prices are pushing higher and the…
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Crude Oil extends – sell US futures
The assassination of Iran’s military overlord on Friday (he was the likely model for Danesh Akbari in season 3 of Homeland, for those who prefer fiction) led to a spike in energy prices and top extensions in a few contracts.…
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Top signals in commodities, stocks too
There were top extension signals on Friday at both daily and weekly scales in one of the main commodity indices we follow: This might mean a sudden drop from here,as there are often strong cross-currents at year-end. We have liquidated all…
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US indices make tops
On Friday, the latest new strength in the late-year stock rally produced a flurry of top extensions at a daily scale: These are across all the main measures of US equity market prices and so we should pay close attention.…
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After the storms – the UK sunrise. Corn breaks up
Last week’s Conservative party victory in the UK parliamentary elections was decisive and both stocks and the currency rose on the news. This was not so much a celebration of a Conservative win, more relief that the opposition Labour party…
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Compressions appear in stocks, bonds
The drop and rally in stocks during the last week has now produced some compressions. There have been a few in European national stock indices and in US 30-year bonds. Here we show Germany as an example: There have been…
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