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US indices make tops

On Friday, the latest new strength in the late-year stock rally produced a flurry of top extensions at a daily scale:

4x US daily top exts

These are across all the main measures of US equity market prices and so we should pay close attention. There are also some smallish turn clusters due today and/or tomorrow as can be seen in the December turn schedule on the front page or here. This combination of top extensions with a turn always makes us issue a sell recommendation and so we do here. Sell.

Any fall in the next few weeks will probably not be big as the longer-term picture remains bullish. Stocks broke up from weekly-scale compressions in several indices just three weeks ago and those compressions will offer support if re-visited. The most likely outcome from this tension between medium-term bullish and short-term bearish is a dip, probably back down to those compressions about 3% below here followed by a resumption of this quite new uptrend.

Value line wkly comp break

Accordingly, if you want to sell short on this advice, don’t risk much as the rewards are likely to be modest.

A merry Christmas to all our readers.

All signals courtesy of software supplied by our friends at Parallax Financial Research www.pfr.com